
Georgia Capital PLC Annual Report 2024
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Strategic Review
Overview
Strategic Review
Our Business
Strategic Review
Discussion of Results
Governance Financial Statements Additional Information
Market and Industry Overview continued
as well as new transit routes. Georgia is
a regional energy corridor. In November
2019, the Georgian PM, alongside the
Turkish and Azerbaijani presidents,
opened the Trans-Anatolian Pipeline,
allowing natural gas from Azerbaijan to
be exported to Europe through Georgia.
In December 2022, leaders of Azerbaijan,
Georgia, Hungary and Romania signed
an agreement to build an underwater
electric cable in the Black Sea, further
positioning Georgia as an important
player in the EU energy policy. The Black
Sea Submarine Cable project is one of
the largest energy infrastructure projects
currently under preparation. Also, a fiber-
optic submarine cable interconnection
across the Black Sea is considered,
which would be laid alongside the electric
cable, to strengthen internet connectivity
between the Caucasus and the EU.
Strengthening of Georgia’s domestic
power transmission system as well as its
digital connectivity should result from the
Black Sea Submarine Cable project, and
the World Bank, one of the contributors
of this project approved a US$ 35 million
loan in May 2024 for the first preparatory
phase. In 2025, the first phase of the
Black Sea Submarine Cable project is
planned to be implemented. This phase
includes studies of the Black Sea seabed
and related consultancy services (financial
and technical assistance). The project is
crucial for Europe and Georgia in several
aspects: energy security, economy, green
policy, and interregional connectivity.
Following the Russia-Ukraine conflict,
and the subsequent Western sanctions
imposed on Russia, the Georgian
Government has revived plans to build a
deep-sea port at Anaklia, which would be
located in the so-called Middle Corridor,
which connects China and the countries
of Central Asia to Europe through Georgia
and Azerbaijan. The port is expected to
be built with the co-participation of the
state and international investors. Recent
developments indicate that a consortium
led by Chinese and Singaporean
companies has been selected as the
private partner for the Anaklia Deep Sea
Port project. On 29 May 2024, Georgian
Minister of Economy and Sustainable
Development, Levan Davitashvili,
announced that the consortium, including
China Communications Construction
Company and China Harbor Investment,
was the sole bidder and would be officially
declared the winner. Additionally, an
agreement for constructing the port’s
marine infrastructure was signed with
the Belgian company “Jan De Nul”, a
leading firm in marine construction. These
partnerships support the Anaklia Deep
Sea Port project, aiming to enhance
Georgia’s role as a strategic transit hub
between Europe and Asia.
Georgia’s business-friendly environment,
coupled with its sustainable growth
prospects, attracted FDI on average 7.9%
of GDP over the past decade. These
capital flows boosted productivity and
accelerated growth. Public infrastructure
projects were also instrumental in driving
growth, as well as better realising the
country’s potential in logistics, transport
and tourism. Faced with low domestic
savings, FDI is an important source of
financing growth in Georgia, as well as a
reliable source of current account deficit
funding. Total FDI amounted to US$ 1.3
billion, down 30% y-o-y in 2024, following
record high FDI numbers in 2022-2023
(US$ 2.3 billion and US$ 1.9 billion,
respectively). Major sectors attracting
FDI in 2024 were: financial and insurance
activities (39% of the total), manufacturing
(13% of the total) and real estate
activities (12% of the total). The share
of reinvestment by foreign companies in
total FDI was 88% in 2024, more than
2019’s 47%. The increasing share of
reinvestment indicates investors trust in
Georgia’s growth model and the success
of the profit tax reform introduced in 2017.
Planned investment and infrastructure
programmes, a rising number of free
trade agreements (FTAs) and a business-
supportive environment will support further
FDI inflows in the medium term.
Free trade agreements
There have been significant changes in
Georgia’s export structure and destination
markets in recent years; however, Georgia
has not yet fully tapped into international
markets. One of the biggest changes
in destination markets has been a
reorientation from the Russian market after
the 2005 embargo, as the embargo forced
Georgian producers to redirect exports
to other Commonwealth of Independent
States (CIS) countries, the EU and the
Middle East. Exports to Russia picked
up again in 2013 as Russia reopened its
borders to Georgian products. Another
significant change concerns the growing
importance of China as a Georgian export
market, as the FTA effective from January
2018 has brought a major acceleration
of exports to China. China was the single
largest destination country for Georgian
exports for 2020-2022 years. Since
2013, Georgia’s developed logistics
and transport infrastructure has helped
shore up opportunities for new re-export
commodities, including copper and
pharmaceuticals. Georgia’s potential to
become a logistic hub has strengthened
since sanctions on Russia, with robust
demand observed from Kyrgyzstan,
Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan and Armenia
in 2023-2024. Importantly, re-exports
reached a record high of US$ 3.6 billion
in 2024, accounting for 54% of total
exports and growing by 10% y-o-y, first
time ever exceeding domestic exports
since April 2023.
Together with established destinations,
improved access to large new markets,
such as the EU, China and Hong Kong,
could increase market penetration.
Georgia’s existing FTAs (with the EU, CIS,
Public debt down to
36%
of GDP by the end of 2024,
lowest since 2014
EFTA, Türkiye, China and Hong Kong) and
the prospective FTA with India, as well as
an agreement with Israel and successfully
concluded economic partnership
negotiations with South Korea, offer
significant upside potential for Georgia’s
exports. Furthermore, the Comprehensive
Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA)
was signed on 10 October 2023, between
Georgia and United Arab Emirates. The
CEPA will strengthen trade, economic
and investment cooperation between
the countries.
The EU-Georgia Association Agreement,
which came into force in July 2016,
and the related DCFTA, effective since
September 2014, have laid the solid
groundwork to improve governance,
strengthen the rule of law and provide
more economic opportunities by
expanding the EU market to Georgian
goods and services. Closer economic
ties with the EU and trust in prudent
policymaking are also expected to attract
foreign investments to Georgia. Visa-free
travel to the EU, granted to Georgian
passport holders in March 2017, is
another major success of the Georgian
foreign policy.
Following Ukraine’s plea to join the EU as
it battles Russia’s invasion, Georgia and
Moldova on 3 March 2022 submitted
their applications to join the EU. Georgia
previously planned to apply to join the EU
in 2024. The European Council granted
a conditional European perspective to
all three countries, with Ukraine and
Moldova receiving the candidate status
pre-emptively. For Georgia, however,
candidate status was made subject to
meeting a list of 12 conditions.
On 8 November 2023, the European
Commission adopted the 2023
Enlargement Package – a set of
documents explaining its policy on EU
enlargement. The final decision was made
on 14 December 2023 and the European
Council granted the status to Georgia
and called on Georgia to demonstrate a
clear commitment to EU values, continue
progress on its reform agenda and fulfil the
conditions specified in the Commission’s
report meaningfully and irreversibly.
Granting candidate status to Georgia is
a significant acknowledgment by the EU
of the progress made in recent years.
However, the reintroduction of
controversial “transparency of foreign
influence” law and a perceived lack of
commitment to key EU demands have
heightened tensions with the West and
put Georgia’s EU integration process
on hold. Even more, after the elections,
the Georgian Government announced a
postponement of its EU accession talks
until 2028. This decision has intensified
protests, as approximately 85% of the
population supports EU membership.
Individual sector overview
Banking
The banking sector has been one of the
most developed and fastest-growing
sectors of the Georgian economy.
The banking sector’s asset growth
rate of 16.6% (ten-year CAGR) has far
outstripped the nominal GDP growth rate
for the same period. However, despite
robust progress, there are plenty of
opportunities to further tap into growth
potential, as the financial market remains
at an early stage of development. The
sector has remained resilient in the face
of challenges such as COVID-19 and
the war in Ukraine, underscoring the
robustness of the banking system.
In December 2024, Fitch Rating
downgraded the outlook of Georgian
banks to “stable” from “positive” on the
back of increased political risks and
elevated uncertainty. Despite the revision,
rating agency highlighted that the risk
of liquidity and local-currency stability
are balanced by the banks’ asset
quality and capitalisation, exceeding
historical averages.
In December 2022, the parliament
adopted changes in the corporate
tax model for banks (as well as credit
unions and microfinance organisations),
setting the corporate tax rate at 20%,
combining the previous 15% rate with
the 5% dividend tax rate and abolishing
the latter. Moreover, commercial banks
adopted International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS) from January 2023, as
laid out in NBG’s 2020-2022 supervisory
strategy, aiming to increase harmonisation
with developed countries.
In 2022, NBG began implementing
a new bank recovery and resolution
framework, with assistance from IMF
technical missions. The IMF mission noted
Georgia’s “considerable progress” in
establishing the necessary infrastructure
for an effective bank recovery and
resolution regime, and identified key
priorities for further collaboration.
Additionally, NBG applied for membership
in the Single Euro Payments Area (SEPA),
emphasising that SEPA membership
would enhance the credibility of the
financial sector and simplify financial
services for Georgian citizens.
In January 2023, NBG introduced a new
methodology for defining systemically
important commercial banks and
establishing a systemic buffer for them,
with the aim of further strengthening
financial system resilience. This updated
methodology classified three banks—
Bank of Georgia, TBC Bank and Liberty
Bank—as systemically important,
assigning a 2.5% buffer for the first
two and a 1% buffer for Liberty Bank.
The decree also included provisions to
increase these buffers if any individual
bank’s deposit concentration exceeds
specified thresholds.
As part of the 2021 joint Financial
Sector Assessment Program by the
IMF and World Bank, NBG received
recommendations to establish a Minimum
Requirement for Own Funds and Eligible