Headline Inflation averaged 5.2% in 7M26 and is expected to stay relatively high throughout the year, primarily due to geopolitical tensions pushing up global oil and food prices. Core inflation, which excludes the most volatile items such as food, energy and regulated tariffs, averaged 3.2% suggesting that underlying inflationary pressures remain more contained. After keeping the policy rate unchanged at 8.0% since May 2024, the NBG raised it by 25 basis points to 8.25% in May 2026, signaling a cautious policy stance amid heightened geopolitical risks and uncertainty surrounding global oil prices, with a commitment to adjust it based on macroeconomic developments.

